QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 9 июля 2024

Опубликовано: 08 июля 2024 в 1243 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 40708
Состояние солнечной активности на 08 июля 2024, 1241UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 08 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 172 / AP-индекс: 012
Прогноз на 09 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 171 / AP-индекс: 011
Прогноз на 10 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 170 / AP-индекс: 014
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity over the past 24 hours was at moderate levels with background high C-class flaring and multiple low M-class flares. The largest activity was a M2.5-flare, with peak time 22:31 UTC on July 07 associated with an active region behind the south-east limb. Further low M-class flaring was attributed to NOAA AR 3733 (beta) and NOAA AR 3738 (beta-gamma). There are currently nine numbered active regions on the visible disk. NOAA AR 3738 is currently the largest and magnetically most complex region, responsible for most of the flaring activity on the visible solar disk. The solar flaring activity is likely to remain at moderate levels over the coming days with likely further M-class flares and small chances for isolated X-class flaring. Coronal mass ejections: No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours. Coronal holes: A negative polarity mid-latitude coronal hole is currently residing on the central meridian. The high speed stream emanating from it might arrive to Earth starting from July 11. Solar wind: Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) recorded background slow solar wind conditions. The solar wind velocity was in the range of 311 km/s to 422 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field was slightly elevated, reaching a maximum of 11 nT, possibly marking a sector boundary crossing. The Bz reached a minimum value of -8.5 nT. The B field phi angle was predominantly in the positive sector (directed away from the Sun) with a sharp switch to the negative sector around 11:15 UTC on July 8. The solar wind conditions are expected to register minor enhancements from a possible mild high speed stream (HSS) arrival on July 8 and July 9. Further enhancement in the solar wind are possible with more anticipated HSS arrivals on July 10 and July 11. Geomagnetism: The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet to unsettled. Mostly quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected throughout July 8 and July 9 with possible isolated active conditions due to anticipated weak HSS arrival. Isolated minor storms are possible later on July 10 and July 11 with further anticipated HSS arrivals. Proton flux levels: Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at background levels and is expected to remain so over the next days. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 16 and GOES 18 was below the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so in the upcoming days. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal level and is expected to remain so in the next days.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 112,
получено на основе анализа результатов 24 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 07 Jul 2024
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): ///
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 171
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 014
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 010
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 009
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 124,
получено на основе анализа результатов 16 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
07 1938 1956 2010 ////// M1.0 ///////
07 2114 2127 2142 ////// M1.3 /////// III/1
07 2142 2151 2154 ////// M1.1 ///////
07 2154 2159 2204 ////// M1.4 ///////
07 2204 2230 2245 ////// M2.4 ///////