QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 18 июня 2024

Опубликовано: 17 июня 2024 в 1242 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 40617
Состояние солнечной активности на 17 июня 2024, 1240UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 17 июня 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 167 / AP-индекс: 012
Прогноз на 18 июня 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 167 / AP-индекс: 010
Прогноз на 19 июня 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 167 / AP-индекс: 010
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity over the last 24 hours has been at moderate levels, with multiple C-class flares and two M-class flares. The two flares were M1.6 flare peaking at 08:04 UTC and at 10:46 UTC on June 17, associated with the most complex sunspot region NOAA- AR 3712 (beta-gamma-delta). There are currently several sunspot groups on the solar disk, with NOAA AR 3712 (beta-gamma-delta) being the largest and the most complex one. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at moderate levels over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares expected, M-class flares probable and a small chance of X-class flares. Coronal mass ejections: No Earth-directed CMEs was identified and observed in the available coronagraph imagery in the last 24 hours. Coronal holes: A large mid-latitude north coronal hole with negative polarity is reaching the central meridian. Solar wind: Solar wind conditions were slightly enhanced in the last 24 hours due to the expected arrival of the high-speed stream from the equatorial, positive polarity coronal hole. The solar wind speed showed a slide increase up to 500 km/s for several hours before returning to value around 400 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field is around 10 nT and the Bz component varied between -3.3 nT and 7.4 nT. The solar wind conditions are expected to return to slow the solar wind regime. Geomagnetism: Geomagnetic conditions were at active levels (NOAA Kp 4, K BEL 4) due to the expected arrival of the high-speed stream from the equatorial, positive polarity coronal hole. Mostly quiet conditions are expected over the next 24 hours. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the threshold level over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold level and decrease over the next 24 hours. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the threshold level in the last 24 hours and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence is presently at normal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 138,
получено на основе анализа результатов 14 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 16 Jun 2024
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): ///
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 167
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 025
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 018
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 016
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 151,
получено на основе анализа результатов 17 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
17 0754 0804 0816 S25W01 M1.5 SN 51/3712 III/1
17 1042 1046 1050 S26W13 M1.5 1B 51/3712 II/1CTM/1